Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 1.656902 1.929624 2.212965 2.527758 2.866224 3.217833 3.609355
2024-12-15 1.193567 1.565531 1.975755 2.455015 2.993384 3.574006 4.242290
2024-12-22 0.948049 1.362932 1.841110 2.419358 3.087532 3.824875 4.690161
2024-12-29 0.794486 1.244316 1.783760 2.455502 3.249738 4.142104 5.204892
2025-01-05 0.664855 1.134289 1.719204 2.467376 3.370043 4.399950 5.641761
2025-01-12 0.538512 1.011123 1.624833 2.431720 3.424860 4.574858 5.977644
2025-01-19 0.494897 0.993524 1.659341 2.550431 3.661025 4.958733 6.552814
2025-01-26 0.460015 0.983167 1.699737 2.673892 3.901191 5.346341 7.131991
2025-02-02 0.434772 0.983280 1.751625 2.810269 4.156156 5.751080 7.731316
2025-02-09 0.418825 0.995054 1.817829 2.964176 4.432416 6.181335 8.361189
2025-02-16 0.384333 0.973379 1.835118 3.052400 4.625615 6.511242 8.872368
2025-02-23 0.335714 0.922690 1.807691 3.078709 4.738937 6.743285 9.266482
2025-03-02 0.259447 0.817884 1.701623 3.003465 4.731166 6.839202 9.513508
2025-03-09 0.194357 0.720315 1.598691 2.927524 4.719680 6.929519 9.754274
2025-03-16 0.148349 0.647943 1.526120 2.886723 4.747586 7.062840 10.041250
2025-03-23 0.123554 0.614955 1.512547 2.927110 4.880713 7.326362 10.486146
2025-03-30 0.098088 0.573517 1.481598 2.940046 4.975721 7.541022 10.870695
2025-04-06 0.069985 0.515171 1.417229 2.900750 4.998380 7.662862 11.140285
2025-04-13 0.066048 0.523759 1.467993 3.031659 5.250825 8.076052 11.768967
2025-04-20 0.062970 0.534252 1.522001 3.167570 5.510438 8.498919 12.410389
2025-04-27 0.061581 0.549809 1.585094 3.317396 5.789441 8.947088 13.083892
2025-05-04 0.062217 0.572098 1.660494 3.486143 6.094765 9.429464 13.800538
2025-05-11 0.055620 0.568304 1.688254 3.582718 6.301622 9.786504 14.362647